Southampton v Arsenal free betting tips - 26.Jan.2021 20:15
It’s too close to bet on the winner of Saints v Arsenal but the stats suggest there won’t be goals for both sides so wager accordingly.
“Remarkably, just 22% of Arsenal’s away games have seen goals at both ends and for Southampton home games, it’s also just 22%.”
Both Teams To Score – No @2.07
Southampton Form
Life is looking good at St Mary’s. A 10th place position in the league means that they’re sitting comfortably and after the weekend win against Arsenal, can have a real go at going deep in the FA Cup.
This is a team with few stars but lots of hard-working and disciplined players who know their job and give it their all.
Two such players, albeit two of the bigger names, are James Ward-Prowse and Danny Ings. There might be a temptation from slightly bigger clubs to try and buy them in the summer but the players should have a long think about whether they’d be any better off than being automatic starters at such a stable club. Ings already had one big move in his career when he went to Liverpool and it didn’t work out for him.
Arsenal Form
The recovery is well under way at the Emirates where the faith in Mikel Arteta is paying off.
They’ve won five of their last six in the league, drawing the other and you can feel and see the difference in confidence and momentum. They did however lose to this lot at the weekend in the FA Cup but that might not be a bad thing. With a battle under way for a top six finish in the league – Arsenal are 4.8 to end up in the leading sextet – and a big game against Benfica coming up in the Europa League, they can probably do with not having to worry about a third competition.
An important part of their improvement has been the form of youngster Emile Smith-Rowe. In the week that Mesut Ozil leaves Arsenal for good, they may just have found his successor and without it costing them a penny.
Southampton v Arsenal betting tip
Our instinct ahead of this one would be that it would be low-scoring but I had no real inkling as to who might nick it if there was a goal. So the perfect market to play might be the ‘both teams to score’ one where 2.07 on ‘no’ looks a standout wager.
Remarkably, just 22% of Arsenal’s away games have seen goals at both ends and for Southampton home games, it’s also just 22%.
So it’s very surprising that you can get an odds-on quote about ‘no’ in light of those stats. There is of course a decent chance that this could finish 1-1, the score when they played at the Emirates. But under 2.5 goals is a fair bit shorter than the ‘no’ option and we prefer the latter not just on price but because the stats are on our side.
PREDICTION
BTTS- NO
ODD: 2.07
H2H COMPARISON
Southamton - Arsenal
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