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Extrapolating from past statistics, we predict Wednesday’s Bundesliga results and scoreline expectations…
As always, when it comes to correct score predictions, these are just for fun and you do need a lot of luck to win. Hence, the great odds you’ll find below for our tips. We recommend you only bet 1% of your capital if you really must or you’re feeling lucky!
Köln to take the points in clash between strugglers
Schalke v Köln
Wednesday, 17:30
Köln have failed to score in their last five league games, but kept things tight to earn a point against Hertha Berlin over the weekend and will feel more optimistic in front of goal against the league’s worst defence. Frankfurt’s three goals on Sunday brought Schalke’s goals against total to 42 from 16 games, while their 2.2 xGA per game is also the worst in the German top flight, and this may be enough for the visitors to take the points.
Arminia to miss opportunity against Stuttgart
Arminia Bielefeld v Stuttgart
Wednesday, 19:30
Last season’s 2. Bundesliga top two have had differing fortunes this term, and an ability to score goals has been the main difference. While both sides have conceded 24 times, Arminia Bielefeld’s 10 goals from 11.6 xGF represents less than a third of their opponents’ total. Stuttgart won 1-0 at SchücoArena early last season, and the model backs them to claim another victory on the road.
Augsburg to suffer third straight loss as champions come to town
Augsburg v Bayern Munich
Wednesday, 19:30
Alfred Finnbogason’s late goal gave Augsburg a point against Bayern last season, but that was Niko Kovač’s team and the Champions League holders are a different prospect under Hansi Flick. The model puts Bayern’s chances of victory north of 70% against a home side with more than five xGA across their last two games, both defeats.
Frankfurt to go five-for-five with win in Freiburg
Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt
Wednesday, 19:30
The return of Luka Jović on loan helped Frankfurt over the line on Sunday, and Adi Hütter’s team will hope the Serbian can help them record a fifth straight win as they take on a Freiburg side narrowly beaten by Bayern Munich last time out. Just three points separated the teams last season, while the gap is the same (albeit in the other direction) this term with the visitors two places ahead of their opponents and given a narrow edge based on the stats.
Leipzig to win battle of high-flyers
RB Leipzig v Union Berlin
Wednesday, 19:30
Union Berlin refuse to fall away from top four contention, earning a big win over Leverkusen last time out, but the trip to Red Bull Arena may see them come up short. Leipzig are averaging just 1.01 xGA at home, where they have won six from eight, and will be keen to pick up where they left off after doing the double over Urs Fischer’s side last term.
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